If you haven’t read John Judis’ analysis at The New Republic yet, you should. Judis has looked at the numbers from New Hampshire and found that 57 percent of those voting in the Democratic primary were women — substantially more than the 53 percent that had been predicted. Change that assumption, and you’d have had poll numbers within the margin of error. Quod erat demonstrandum.
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Anonymous
The people who make big bucks should have figured THIS out also. (Yes I thought Clinton would win NH). Except for William Schneider on CNN, none of the TV media can analyze numbers properly. That’s what happened in 2000 also, although at least Tim Russert figured out the importance of Florida before the election.